agricultural policy, Agriculture & Food, civil war, developing countries, food price shocks, Food Security, India, low income countries, Pakistan, political conflict, political stability, public policy, subsidies, urban consumers, China, Colombia, Indonesia, Guatemala, Political Economy, Thailand, Viet Nam, Uganda
Public Policy, Price Shocks, and Civil War in Developing Countries

Those who study the role of agriculture in the political economy of development focus on government policy choices on the one hand and the impact of price shocks on the other. In this paper, it is argued that the two should be studied together. It was found that civil unrest (Granger) causes government policies, pushing governments in poor and medium income countries to shift relative prices in favor of urban consumers. It was also found that while civil wars are related to food price shocks, when government policy choices are taken into account, the relationship disappears. Thus two things are learned: Policies that placate urban consumers may inflict economic costs on governments, but they confer political benefits. And when estimating the relationship between price shocks and political stability, equations that omit the policy response of governments are misspecified.

Link: http://www.wcfia.harvard.edu/sites/default/files/bcarter_publicpolicycivilwar.pdf
Added by View user profileSonia Hossain on May 8, 2012